Australia 2030: navigating our uncertain future

The Australia 2030 report uses a scenarios-based approach to help business and government to plan today’s innovation investments to meet future opportunities and challenges.

Australia has enjoyed an enviable position over the last two decades, with demand for the nation’s abundant resources leading to strong economic growth and rising standards of living. However, we are entering a period of significant change across national and global markets. In light of this rapid pace of change, how will Australia maintain competitiveness in existing industries and build comparative advantage in new and emerging industries?

The innovation imperative

Innovation will be key to driving future productivity growth in established industries as well as developing new companies and industries based on emerging science and technologies. In an increasingly interconnected and rapidly changing world, Australia risks being left behind if it fails to innovate.

Using scenarios to plan for the future

The Australia 2030 report presents four plausible and divergent scenarios, each based on different combinations of social, economic, environmental and technological drivers. Each is purposely extreme in an attempt to provide a sharp contrast between different potential futures and more clearly illustrate the trade-offs involved. 

The report assists senior decision-makers in government and industry to plan today’s innovation investments to meet future opportunities and challenges. It uses a scenarios-based approach to account for future uncertainty by expanding thinking about the future, understanding trade-offs between different actions, and guiding strategic planning at both a national and corporate level.

Scenario planning is not intended to predict the future, but rather to communicate a wide range of possible outcomes and the consequences of each. Through expanding thinking and identifying trade-offs, this approach provides guidance on where to invest innovation resources most effectively.

Download the report

PDF versions

Text versions

CSIRO Futures - helping businesses prepare for an uncertain future

Show transcript

[Music plays and an image of a world globe appears, breaks into segments and then resolves into the globe again and then the camera zooms in to show connection lines between the countries]

Narrator: Our world is changing rapidly.  We’re more connected than ever before.

[Camera zooms out to show the globe surrounded by an outline person, music notes, a briefcase, and computer screens]

Industries are being transformed by new business models and disruptive technologies. 

[Image changes to show a graph depicting stacked money on the vertical line and buildings on the horizontal line and then the graph disappears and mountains, trees, windmills, sun and clouds appear around the buildings]

Rising incomes around the world are creating new markets and new competition and constraints on our natural resources means businesses have to think more sustainably. 

[Image changes to show an outline map of Australia with a question mark in the centre]

But what does this all really mean for Australia?

[Image changes to show crossroads displaying signs “Opportunities” and “Risks”]

What opportunities and risks will these mega trends create? 

[Image changes to show a line connecting the word “Innovation” to a light bulb and then the image changes to show a bag inside a circle surrounded by question marks and text appears: Prepare, Uncertain, Future]

How can Australian businesses use technology and innovation to unlock these opportunities and most importantly what can we do now to prepare ourselves for an uncertain future? 

[Image changes to show a handshake]

That’s where we can help. 

[Image changes to depict an outline of a city and the city moves along the screen to the left and text appears: CSIRO Futures]

CSIRO Futures works with some of Australia’s largest businesses and Government, to help answer these important questions. 

[Image changes to show a calculator, a flower, a graph and a diamond shape and text appears: Sustainable Growth and the camera zooms out to show a box lid being closed over the symbols]

Through a range of strategic planning tools we help our customers create sustainable growth and plan for this uncertain future. 

[Image changes to depict a heart, a solar panel, a microscope and a vehicle symbol]

We draw on CSIRO’s world class research expertise to translate science into strategy.

[Image changes the four symbols into four outlines of people and an arrow with text inside appears above them: Opportunities]

It’s all part of our role as Australia’s innovation catalyst. 

[Image changes to show an image of a city and a path appears leading up to the buildings]

The future is full of opportunities and the decisions we make today can put us on the right path to realising them. 

[Image changes to show the CSIRO logo and text appears on screen: www.csiro.au/futures] 
Hide transcript

Enquiries

Have an enquiry about this page?

Contact us

Interested in this solution for your organisation?

We offer services and contract-based research to clients in business, industry and government.

Contact us to start doing business