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Home > Example Scenarios

Choose a scenario example

Temperature

		Low - This scenario assumes a low climate sensitivity combined with a global climate model which over Australia as a whole produces a weaker warming response compared to other climate models.	[Help ]
		Medium - This scenario assumes a medium climate sensitivity combined with a global climate model which over Australia as a whole produces a moderate warming response compared to other climate models.	[Help ]
		High - This scenario assumes a high climate sensitivity combined with a global climate model which over Australia as a whole produces a stronger warming response compared to other climate models.	[Help ]

Rainfall

		Wetter - This scenario assumes a high climate sensitivity combined with a with a global climate model which over Australia as a whole produces a wetter response compared to other climate models.	[Help ]
		Moderate - This scenario assumes a medium climate sensitivity combined with a global climate model which over Australia as a whole produces a moderate response compared to other climate models.	[Help ]
		Drier - This scenario assumes a high climate sensitivity combined with a global climate model which over Australia as a whole produces a drier response compared to other climate models.	[Help ]

PLEASE NOTE:

It is important to maintain scenario consistency if your application requires both temperature and rainfall change. See the FAQ: What climate scenario should I use for my impact model? for more information.

We recommend the following combinations of Global Climate Model, climate sensitivity and emission scenario to represent a low, medium and high impact scenario over Australia as a whole. The following impact combinations may not apply to smaller regions.

Low impact = MUIB/KMA: ECHO-G Global Climate Model with low climate sensitivity and B1 emission scenario
Medium impact = Max Planck: ECHAM5/MPI-OM Global Climate Model with medium climate sensitivity and A1B emission scenario
High impact = GFDL: GFDL-CM2.1 Global Climate Model with high climate sensitivity and A1FI emission scenario

To generate the low impact, medium impact and high impact scenarios go to the Advanced section.

Choose a temperature or rainfall example and select "Generate". Each example scenario will produce an annual average image for the year 2030 based on the change from the observed base climate.

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