Reports, summaries and scientific papers produced as part of the Australian National Outlook 2015.
Key science papers
Reporting National Outlook results and analysis.
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Australia ‘free to choose’ economic growth and falling environmental pressures
Published in Nature. Underpins Sections 2.1, 3.2 and 3.6 in the Australian National Outlook 2015 report.
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Australian retail electricity prices
Published in Energy Policy. Underpins Section 2.3 and analysis of emissions reductions from stationary energy (including Section 3.5) in the Australian National Outlook 2015 report.
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Australian transport scenarios
In review. Underpins Section 2.3 and analysis of emissions reductions from transport in the Australian National Outlook 2015 report.
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Potential for land-sector carbon sequestration
Published report for the Australian National Outlook. Underpins Sections 1.3, 3.1, 3.2, 3.7 and analysis of land use trade-offs.
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Land use and sustainability trajectories
Published in Global Environmental Change. Underpins Sections 1.3, 3.1, 3.2, 3.7 and analysis of land use trade-offs in the Australian National Outlook 2015 report.
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Scenarios for agricultural production and land use
Published in Agricultural Systems. Underpins Sections 1.3 and 3.1 in the Australian National Outlook 2015 report.
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Outlooks for adaptive conservation of biodiversity
In review. Underpins Section 3.7 in the Australian National Outlook 2015 report.
Foundation science papers
Documenting the National Outlook modelling capacity.
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Integrated multi-model projections of economic activity
In review. Describes the National Outlook modelling and analytical framework, and advantages and disadvantages. Underpins Sections 2.1 and 3.4 in the Australian National Outlook 2015 report.
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A hybrid energy-economy model
Published in Applied Energy. Describes the global modelling framework (GIAM), and reports key results.
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Shrinking window of climate mitigation
In review. Describes enhanced global modelling framework including climate damages (GIAM), and reports scenarios from which the global scenarios were developed.
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Modelling continental land use change
Published in Environmental Modelling and Software. Describes land competition in the land use trade-offs model (LUTO), and reports key results.
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Carbon sequestration and biodiversity services from agricultural land
Published in Global Environmental Change. Describes the treatment of carbon and biodiversity in the land use trade-offs model (LUTO), and reports key results.
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Potential for step change in energy, water and resource efficiency
Published technical report for the Australian National Outlook 2015. Outlines the data and methods used to estimate implications of trends in energy and water intensity and potential impact of efficiency measures.
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Decoupling global environmental pressure and economic growth
Published in the Journal of Cleaner Production. Describes the analysis of global material and energy use and carbon emissions, on a production basis and footprint (consumption) basis, and reports key results.